IHSG ditutup pada level 4609.948 turun 167.417 points (-3.50%), dengan total value transaksi sebesar 13.5 trilyun, dimana asing net sell sebesar 3.9 trilyun. (mohon diperhatikan transaksi di market reguler hanya sebesar 8 trilyun, dimana asing net sell sebesar 2.8 trilyun).
Dow 15122 -116.6 -0.76%
Nasdaq 3436 -36.8 -1.06%
S&P 500 1626 -16.7 -1.02%
FTSE 6340 -60.4 -0.94%
Dax 8222 -85.2 -1.03%
CAC40 3810 -53.8 -1.39%
VIX. 17.07 +1.63+10.56%
USD Index 81.07 -0.57 -0.70%
(DXY)
Oil. 95.38 -0.39 -0.41%
Gold 1378.25 -8.45 -0.61%
IDR. 9825(source: yahoo finance)
Euro. 1.3312
TLKM 39.98 -2.76 -6.46% Rp9820
BumiPlc 259.30 suspend+0.00%
EIDO. 29.87 -1.21 -3.89%
Timah. 20500 -125 -0.60%
Nickel. 14390 -405 -2.74%
CPO. 2455RM +2 +0.08%$779
Corn. 550.75 +4.75 +0.87%
SoybeanOil 48.04 -0.03 -0.06%
Wheat. 696.75 +7.00 +1.01%
DOC(11 Jun)5650 -50 -0.88%%
(DE/ls- 12-06-13)
Berikut Tabel Market Detailnya:
Sektor yang naik/turun:
40 Saham top value yang naik/turun:
Saham yang Asing Net Buy:
Saham yang Asing Net Sell:
Saham-saham kompas-100 yang naik/turun:
- IHSG kemarin terjungkal diatas 4%, dan tutup minus 3.5%, penurunan yang terdalam sejak krisis global tahun 2008, hari ini EIDO masih turun 3.89%, so IHSG masih bakalan terkoreksi dalam kembali.
- Banyak riset-riset asing yang kini beredar, bahwa pada Intinya Indonesia defisit anggaran dan menanti pemerintah untuk menaikan BBM, pertumbuhan ekonomi China dan Indonesia yang akan menurun, serta IHSG saat ini merupakan bursa termahal ke-4 setelah Filipina, Meksiko, Chili
- Para analis memperkirakan koreksi IHSG hingga level 4400-4300, dan skenario terburuk adalah 3500.
- Benar atau tidak? yang jelas kalau asing net sell cukup besar dan Rupiah melemah hingga diatas 10.000,- berarti capital out flow...
- Bagaimana Pemerintah SBY saat ini masih enggan menaikan harga BBM dan sibuk dengan pencitraan partainya? Karena untuk menaikan BBM, Pemerintah tidak perlu meminta persetujuan DPR, namun untuk memberikan bantuan tunai kepada yang tidak mampu, nah itu diperlukan persetujuan DPR, karena dana itu merubah APBN.
- Asing sudah tidak sabar dan menampar muka Indonesia dengan cara menjual saham-saham BEI, bahkan bisa saja menuju level 3500, kalau Pemerintah tidak segera memperbaiki APBNnya., saya tidak begitu mengerti mengenai hal ini, tapi asing pemilik duit tentunya banyak pakarnya mengenai ini.
- Saya tidak akan terlalu sibuk memikirkan ursuan Pemerintah dan politiknya, mari kita fokus saja kepada market, para analis mengatakan beli saham ketika mendekati tanggal 17 Juni 2013, ketika pemerintah mengumumkan kenaikan BBM. Itu saja.
Berikut beberapa analis yang saya copy-paste dari email yang saya terima :
KI : Flashnote
JCI , finding the bottom4,300
as the next stop? It seems that JCI has lost its steam. From the all
time high level at 5,214,, JCI has already dropped 11% to 4,640 (as we
write this note). Although we are not on an official bear territory yet
(that is officially defined as 20% correction) but the smell of the
roaring bear is already sensed by the market participants. Foreign
investors had booked net sell of more than Rp13 trillion since the past
12 days with no days of net buy.
We have explained several times the reason behind this JCI correction, namely thestubborn
deficit of current account that hit our currency in the mid of
uncertainty for long term solution for this problem. The 2012 Indonesia
trade deficit is the first time since 1961 (Soekarno era).
We have collected P/E data of JCI from 2006 until current time (using 2013 P/E). The average JCI P/E during the period is13.8x. Currently the JCI P/E is14,9x,
making JCI the most expensive index in Asia after Philippines index.
Finding the bottom is tricky at best but as a guide if JCI should come
down to its level of average 7 years P/E than JCI should bottomed out at 4,300.
The darker scenario (which is we think the worst case scenario) is JCI to overshoot to its -1 standard deviation at the level of 3,500 ( P/E of 11.3).
Indonesian Stocks Downgraded to Underweight at UBS on Valuations
2013-06-11 05:26:38.873 GMT
By Jan Dahinten
June 11 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia is 4th-most expensive emerging mkt after Philippines , Mexico , Chile with stocks fairly valued after fwd P/E rose to 15.5x from 11.8x 12 mos ago, UBS
strategist Nicholas Smithie writes in client note.
* Changes to UBS Global Emerging Markets Select Portfolio:
* Adds Embraer, GF Banorte, ICICI Bank, Kangwon Land , TAV
* Removes BRI, Emlak Konut, KEPCO,&nb sp;Semen Indonesia , Tata
Chemicals
* No changes to UBS Frontier Markets Portfolio
* Prefers cheaper emerging markets such as China , Russia ,
“where at least we have the protection of low valuations”
* Likes sectors “that look reasonably priced” with good
fundamentals, improving earnings momentum; financials,
technology fit the bill
* NOTE: Jakarta Stock Price Index dropped as much as 3.2%
today to 16-week low; index drops fourth straight day in
& nbsp; longest series of losses since Dec. 21
* NOTE: Foreign funds sold net $1.23b of local stocks in 12
days through June 10: Bloomberg data
* NOTE: JSE down 12% from May 21 record high; +7.8% ytd as
construction, property shrs gain most, miners decline most
Indonesia Stocks Fall to 16-Week Low as Rupiah Drops, Funds Sell
By Harry Suhartono
June 11 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesian stocks declined to the lowest level since Feb. 19 as rupiah forwards weakened to the lowest in more than three years and foreign investors sold the
nation’s stocks for the 12th consecutive day.
The 466-member Jakarta Composite Index tumbled 3.5 percent to 4,609.948. The gauge has decreased 12 percent since climbing to a record on May 20, exceeding a fall of 10 percent that
some investors consider a correction. One-month forwards on the rupiah gained 0.8 percent to 10,265 per dollar after falling by as much as 0.5 percent earlier today.
The rupiah forwards fell
2.4 percent yesterday to the weakest level since August 2009.
Asian emerging-market currencies and stocks slumped today as the U.S. Federal Reserve considers paring asset purchases.
A weaker rupiah threatens the profits of companies that either rely on imported raw materials or have high dollar-denominated debt, Andy Ferdinand, analyst at Batavia Prosperindo Sekuritas said by phone today. Foreign funds sold a net of $1.23 billion of local stocks in 12 days through June 10, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“The main theme today is foreign investors are leaving the country,” John Rachmat, head of research at Mandiri Sekuritas, said today by phone. “All stocks have been hit, including those that people think to be defensives.”
The nation’s stocks were downgraded to underweight today by UBS AG strategist Nicholas Smithie, who cited valuations that are the most expensive among emerging-market equities after the Philippines, Mexico and Chile.
Buying Opportunity
The Jakarta Composite Index could “technically” decline further to 4,200 level, Harry Su, head of research at PT Bahana Securities, said in an e-mail today.
“At around the 4,500 level, investors can begin selective buying on stocks or sectors with strong fundamentals with the view to further add to their positions assuming market performance would overshoot on the way down.” Su said.
“With rupiah weakness, we are starting to like the palm oil sector with Astra Agro as our top pick.”
PT Astra Agro Lestari, largest palm-oil producer on the index by market value, rose 1.6 percent today. The stock was the biggest support to the broader index, followed by property developer PT Lippo Karawaci which gained 1.3 percent, its first rise in five days.
Citigroup :
Please find below the comment from our economist Helmi. We believe that the key catalyst for the market should be the increase in fuel prices. The main trigger of this weakening currency and the correction in equity market was primarily due to the negative trade balance announced in early June coupled with the government's decision to pass on the tax break for the low cost green car without announcing the fuel price hike. We believe that the fuel price hike will be announced on or before June 17 but without this, the CAD and currency will continue to weaken and the government may want to to something such as tightening the monetary policy. The equity market could continue to weaken until the announcement of fuel price hike. We suggest clients to buy closer to the announcement on the fuel price.
IHSG :
Agenda :
12 Juni
-Penandatangan perjanjian Jual Beli Bersyarat Divestsi BBKP (disc on)
-RUPSLB/T : JPFA, LTLS, BNBA, BNBR, GDYR, BUDI, EMTK, RAJA, BWPT, BACA, KOBX, BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA AGRONIAGA, POOL, APIC, RAJA, SPMA, TBLA
-PUBEX : GDYR, KBLM, KLBM, KOBX,
MASA, WAPO, WICO, YULE
-MBA Mortgage Index, Crude Inventories, Treasury Budget
13 Juni
-BI Rate
-Cum Dev KLBF 19,
-Cum Dev SMDR RP 145
-Cum Right Issue Hero 27 : 100 3350
-SMCB stated that after the completion of Tuban I plant in Jun 13
-RUPSLB/T : POLY, AKPI, INDS, SONA, BBKP,
-PUBEX : FREN, NIKL, SONA
-Initial Claims,Continuing Claims,Retail Sales,Retail Sales ex-auto, Export Prices ex-ag., Import Prices ex-oil, Business Inventories, Natural Gas Inventories
14 Juni
-Cum Dev HRUM RP 252
-Cum Dev EPMT RP 2
-Cum Dev MITI RP 2
-Cum Dev LSIP RP 66
-Cum Dev TAISHO PHARMACEUTICAL IND. TBK RP 12500
-Listing Dharma Satya Nusa 1850 275000000 12.97
-RUPSLB/T : DOID, INDS, TRIL, INPC, BKSL, BARAMULTI SUKSESSARANA, GJTL, BTEK, CFIN, LPPF,
-PUBEX : AIMS, BATA, BTEK, CPRO, GWSA, IIKP, LMPI, PNSE, SDMU, TOWR, TRIL, WEHA
-PPI, Core PPI, Current Account Balance, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, Capacity Utilization, Mich Sentiment
17 Juni
-Cum Dev VOKS Rp50
- Kenaikan BBM akan dilihat jadwalnya dalam APBNP, mungkin 17 Juni (disc on)
-Listing SRI REJEKI ISMAN, 5600000000 30.12% RP 230 - 385
-Jth Tempo obligasi BFIN
-Akhir perdagangan Right Bank QNB Kesawan 729:1000 250
-Awal perdagangan right MNC Land Tbk 1 : 2 1520
-RUPSLB/T : HOME, FASW (persetujuan rights issue dengan rasio 6:1 dan harga penawaran Rp1.650-Rp3.000 per saham, cum 24 Juni 2013), INTD,
-PUBEX : HOME, NELY,
-Empire Manufacturing, Net Long-Term TIC Flows, NAHB Housing Market Index
